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IBM – You should have got the memo.

Anyone reading these posts will have seen this chart before – The Apollo Margin of Safety chart that gives users a continuous, objective assessment of the risk and reward of holding a position, long or short. The indicator applies a real options pricing model – more information, willingly made available on request. Even without the […]

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General Market Dynamics Weather Report

Weather report June 2026

With the arrival of H2 we take a look at the weather report from the end of H1 and at the prospects for the summer ahead

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The (cyber security) Empire strikes back

Remember the Citrini piece of ‘scenario analysis’ that went viral on social media on Sunday 22 February and hammered share prices of global software and cyber-security companies? The 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS. That piece of ‘scenario analysis’ has by and large been discredited, but the damage was done and for many people (to use a […]